17 Million Without Health Care Under Trump’s Plan: What You Need to Know
- Following the passage of U.S. President Donald Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" by Congress in early July 2025, speculation arose that the legislation could lead to 17 million individuals being unable to obtain medical coverage. These claims persisted even after Trump officially enacted the bill on July 4th.
- The figure of 17 million was derived from an analysis conducted by KFF, a non-profit entity dedicated to health policy, which included updated statistics from the Congressional Budget Office. Additionally, Democratic members of the Senate's Joint Economic Committee presented their own calculation based on CBO data and arrived at the identical number.
- This projection relied on budget reductions incorporated into the legislation by the Senate concerning the Medicaid initiative, which offers publically supported health coverage for individuals with low incomes and assets, along with the 2010 Affordable Care Act, commonly referred to as ObamaCare. As of now, Medicaid has enabled healthcare access for over 78 million people, according to the program’s current registration figures.
- The projections covered not just individuals impacted by the budget bill, but also those influenced by other policies from the Trump administration, such as the termination of tax subsidies for health insurance costs under the ACA.
- Nevertheless, these figures are approximations, and only future developments will show exactly how many individuals in the United States will be affected by losing their healthcare coverage due to this legislation.
When U.S. President Donald Trump enacted his "Big Beautiful Bill" into law on July 4, 2025, whispers spread that 17 million individuals might be deprived of healthcare as a result of reductions in Medicaid funding.
For instance, the X account of House Democrats posted a video Regarding Rep. Laura Friedman, a Democratic representative from California, detailing her perception of the law's impact archived like "kicked 17 million out of their healthcare."
This post has been viewed 12,000 times up to now. The identical statement was also found on Facebook, Reddit and X featuring notable Democrats like California Governor Gavin Newsom ( archived ) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts, spreading the rumor.
The recent legislation included approximately $1 trillion in reductions for Medicaid, as reported by a June 30 note from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities using information from the Congressional Budget Office .
Medicaid had more than 78 million enrollees as of March 2025.
In a June 16 letter To Senator Ron Wyden, a Democrat representing Oregon, and Democratic Representatives Frank Pallone from New Jersey and Richard Neal from Massachusetts, the Congressional Budget Office projected that the recently approved budget bill would lead to 16 million individuals losing insurance by 2034. This figure encompassed 10.9 million people expected to lose Medicaid benefits, along with additional individuals who would be without health coverage purchased through exchanges established under the Affordable Care Act of 2010, commonly referred to as Obamacare.
After the bill was modified in the Senate, the CBO updated its projections higher, stating that 11.8 million individuals would lose their Medicaid and ACA coverage. This prompted KFF — a non-profit entity dedicated to health policy research — to conduct an estimation of... 17 million people might be without health insurance by 2034.
The Democratic members of the Joint Economic Committee also developed a projection using CBO information , analyzing statistics per state and claiming that 17 million individuals throughout the U.S. could lose their health coverage by 2034 as a result of the budget law and additional policies implemented under the Trump administration.
Though the bill ultimately passed the House no alterations as of July 3, 2025, and Trump enacted it into law the next day, it should be emphasized that these figures were approximations. the exact number of individuals who will lose health coverage in the u.s. due to this legislation and additional policies from the trump administration will become more evident beginning in 2026.
Sources:
Cox, Cynthia. "Approximately 17 Million Additional Individuals Might Lose Health Insurance Because of the Major Comprehensive Legislation and Related Policy Modifications." KFF , 1 July 2025, www.kff.org/quick-take/about-17-million-more-people-could-be-uninsured-due-to-the-big-beautiful-bill-and-other-policy-changes/ . Retrieved on July 2, 2025.
Projected Financial Impacts of an Amendment Similar to a Replacement Proposal for H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, Compared to CBO's January 2025 Base Forecast. Congressional Budget Office , 29 June 2025, www.cbo.gov/publication/61534 . Accessed on July 2, 2025.
Euhus, Rhiannon, and others. "Distributing CBO's Projections of Federal Medicaid Expenditure Cuts Among the States: Senate Reconciliation Act | KFF." KFF , 1 July 2025, www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/allocating-cbos-estimates-of-federal-medicaid-spending-reductions-across-the-states-senate-reconciliation-bill/ . Retrieved on July 2, 2025.
Medicaid. "Key Points from October 2024 Medicaid and CHIP Participation Statistics | Medicaid." Medicaid.gov , 2025, www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/program-information/medicaid-and-chip-enrollment-data/report-highlights . Retrieved on July 2, 2025.
News, NBC. "Real-Time Coverage: A Large and Prominent Bill Supported by Trump Advances to the House Following Modifications Made by Senate Republicans." NBC News , 2 July 2025, www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/live-blog/trump-big-beautiful-bill-house-taxes-immigration-live-updates-rcna215840 . Retrieved on July 2, 2025.
Countries, United. "News Announcements - U.S. Joint Economic Committee." Senate.gov , 30 June 2025, www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/democrats/press-releases . Retrieved on July 2, 2025.
Swagel, Phillip. CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE . 4 June 2025, www.cbo.gov/system/files/2025-06/Wyden-Pallone-Neal_Letter_6-4-25.pdf . Retrieved on July 2, 2025.
Hubbard, Kaia, and Caitlin Yilek. "The House Assembles to Address Trump's 'Large, Stunning Law' Following Its Approval in the Senate." Cbsnews.com , CBS News, July 2, 2025, www.cbsnews.com/news/house-vote-big-beautiful-bill-rules-committee/ . Retrieved on July 10, 2025.
Ramirez, Gabe. "Trump Enacts 'Large and Impressive Legislation' | CNN Politics." Cnn.com , 4 July 2025, www.cnn.com/2025/07/04/politics/video/trump-big-beautiful-bill-signing-vrtc . Retrieved on July 10, 2025.
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